Prof. Andrew Turner, PhD

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Jump to: IPCC report | Submitted | Early-online | Refereed | Other | Thesis | Book chapters

IPCC AR6 WG1 (co-listed in Book chapters)

On behalf of IPCC scientists who deliver the most up-to-date and robust climate change knowledge to the world's policymakers, we are honoured to receive this prominent award. Science is our most powerful instrument to tackle climate change, a clear and imminent threat to our wellbeing and livelihoods, the wellbeing of our planet and all of its species. For IPCC scientists, this prize is an important recognition and encouragement. For the decision-makers, it is another push for more decisive climate action

-Hoesung Lee. Chair of the IPCC

Winner of the Gulbenkian Prize for Humanity 2022

Lead Author

  • Linking Global to Regional Climate Change. Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W. J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B. L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T. S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, Z. Zuo (2021). In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1363-1512, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.012. | Supplementary Material

  • IPCC, 2021: Annex V: Monsoons [Cherchi, A., A. Turner (eds.)]. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 2193-2204, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.019.

Contributing Author

Other IPCC contributions

  • Climate Science: A Summary for Actuaries - What the IPCC Climate Change Report 2021 Means for the Actuarial Profession. Connors, S., M. Dionne, G. Hanák, R. Musulin, N. Aellen, M. Amjad, S. Bowen, D. R. Carrascal, E. Coppola, E. D. Moro, A. Dosio, S. H. Faria, T. Y. Gan, M. Gomis, J. M. Gutiérrez, P. Hope, R. Kopp, S. Krakovska, K. Leitzell, D. Maraun, V. Masson-Delmotte, R. Matthews, T. Maycock, S. Paddam, G.-K. Plattner, A. Pui, M. Rahimi, R. Ranasinghe, J. Rogelj, A. C. Ruane, S. Szopa, A. Turner, R. Vautard, Y. Velichkova, A. Weigel and X. Zhang (2022). International Actuarial Association, published March 2022. | PDF |
    Abstract

Submitted

Preprints of submitted papers are available on request
  • Systematic biases over the equatorial Indian Ocean and their influence on seasonal forecasts of the IOD. Gler, M., A. G. Turner, L. Hirons, C. Wainwright and C. Marzin (2025). Climate Dynamics, submitted 20 January 2025.

  • Ecosystem-Atmosphere Exchanges of Carbon, Water, and Energy in India: A Synthesis of Insights from Eddy Covariance Measurements. Deb Burman, P., G. S. Bhat, Y. Tiwari, R. Morrison, S. Rodda, S. Mukherjee, V. K. Dadhwal, S. Launiainen, A. G. Turner, P. Das, G. Agarwal, D. Sarma, N. Gogoi, P. Gnanamoorthy, S. Paleri and D. Desai (2025). Global Change Biology, submitted 5 January 2025.

  • The role of dry intrusions in breaks of the Indian summer monsoon. Deoras, A., Andrew G. Turner, A. Volonté, R. K. H. Schiemann, L. J. Wilcox and Arathy Menon (2025). Journal of Climate, submitted 2 January 2025.

  • The role of soil moisture in the inland penetration of Indian monsoon low-pressure systems. Deoras, A., K. M. R. Hunt and A. G. Turner (2024). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, submitted 22 November 2024.

  • Strong inter-model differences and biases in CMIP6 simulations of PM2.5, aerosol optical depth, and precipitation over Africa. Toolan, C. A., J. A. Amooli, L. J. Wilcox, B. H. Samset, A. G. Turner and D. M. Westervelt (2024). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, submitted 30 September 2024, preprint available online 23 October 2024.

  • On the Decadal Variation of Southern Hemisphere Land Monsoon Precipitation. Wang, H., J. Cao, X. Lian, A. G. Turner, B. Wang and Z. Kong (2024). Journal of Climate, submitted 13 September 2024.

  • High-resolution climate models improve simulation of monsoon rainfall changes in the Ganga-Brahmaputra-Meghna basin. Ali, H., A. G. Turner and H. J. Fowler (2024). Climate Dynamics, submitted 19 August 2024.

  • Stronger influence of the tropical Atlantic on interannual variability of Northern Hemisphere land monsoon rainfall. Zhu, Z., Y. Jiang, J. Li and A. G. Turner (2024). Journal of Climate, submitted 12 August 2024.

  • Interactions between subpolar and subtropical jet streams leads to extreme rainfall events over northern India in 2013 and 2023. Dey, D., L. Joseph, A. Ray, R. Marsh, N. Skliris, A. G. Turner, D. C. Ayantika, P. Mukhopadhyay, A. Chakraborty and S. Sil (2024). Climate Dynamics, submitted 7 August 2024, revised version submitted 22 January 2025.
  • Future intensification of boreal summer monsoon from overall reductions in Northern hemispheric aerosol pollution despite localized increases. Dhara, C., K. P. Sooraj, D. C. Ayantika, V. Kalik, K. M. Sumit, A. G. Turner and R. Krishnan (2024). Geophysical Research Letters, submitted 5 August 2024.

Early-online & accepted refereed publications

  1. The skill of extended-range ERPAS and GloSea5 models in capturing extratropical-tropical interactions during the north Indian summer monsoon. Kalshetti, M., R. Chattopadhyay, A. G. Turner, R Phani, S. Joseph and A. K. Sahai (2025). International Journal of Climatology, submitted 8 December 2023, revised version submitted 15 August 2024, accepted 10 March 2025, published online 19 March 2025. |
    Abstract

Refereed publications

Articles are listed in order of appearance in published volumes.

  1. Western disturbances and climate variability: a review of recent developments. Hunt, K. M. R., J.-P. Baudouin, A. G. Turner, A. P. Dimri, G. Jeelani, R. S. Pooja, R. Chattopadhyay, F. Cannon, T. Arulalan, M. S. Shekhar, T. P. Sabin and E. Palazzi (2025). Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6: 43-112. Submitted 19 March 2024, revised version submitted 15 August 2024, accepted 8 November 2024, published 9 January 2025. | Preprint discussions version, started 4 April 2024. |
    Abstract

  2. A Shorter Duration of the Indian Summer Monsoon in Constrained Projections. Y. Cheng, L. Wang, X. Chen, T. Zhou and A. G. Turner (2025). Geophysical Research Letters, submitted 1 October 2024, revised version submitted 29 November 2024, accepted 20 December 2024, published 4 January 2025. |
    Abstract

  3. Regional impacts poorly constrained by climate sensitivity. Swaminathan, R., J. Schewe, J. Walton, K. Zimmermann, C. Jones, R. A. Betts, C. Burton, C. D. Jones, M. Mengel, C. P.O. Reyer, A. G. Turner and K. Weigel (2024). Earth's Future, 12(12): e2024EF004901, submitted 13 May 2024, revised version submitted 3 October 2024, accepted 27 October 2024, published 5 December 2024. | arXiv version | UoR press release | Met Office press release |
    Abstract

  4. Constrained projections indicate less delay in onset of summer monsoon over the Bay of Bengal and South China Sea. Cheng, Y., L. Wang, X. Chen, T. Zhou, A. G. Turner and L. Wang (2024). Geophysical Research Letters, 15(21): e2024GL110994, submitted 23 June 2024, revised version submitted 9 September 2024, accepted 15 October 2024, published online 4 November 2024. |
    Abstract

  5. Tropical intraseasonal oscillations as key driver and source of predictability for the 2022 Pakistan record-breaking rainfall event. Xie, J., P.-C. Hsu, J.-Y. Lee, L. Wang and A. G. Turner (2024). npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7: 256, submitted 4 June 2024, revised version submitted 19 September 2024, accepted 15 October 2024, published 23 October 2024. |
    Abstract

  6. The role of midlatitude dry air during the withdrawal of the Indian summer monsoon. Deoras, A., A. G. Turner, A. Volonté and A. Menon (2024). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150(765): 5094-5112, submitted 2 February 2024, revised version submitted 15 May 2024, accepted 22 August 2024, published online 30 September 2024. |
    Abstract

  7. An uncertain future change in aridity over the tropics. Monerie, P.-A., R. Chadwick, L. J. Wilcox, A. G. Turner (2024). Environmental Research Letters, 19(5): 054048, submitted 25 September 2023, revised versions submitted February 2024 and 4 March 2024, accepted manuscript online 24 April 2024, published 3 May 2024. |
    Abstract

  8. Using interpretable gradient-boosted decision-tree ensembles to uncover novel dynamical relationships governing monsoon low-pressure systems. Hunt, K. M. R. and A. G. Turner (2024). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150(758): 1-24, submitted 6 February 2023, revised version submitted 4 July 2023, accepted 30 August 2023, first published online 27 September 2023. |
    Abstract

  9. Effect of global and regional SST biases on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in the MetUM GA7 and GC3 configurations. Franco-Díaz, A., N. P. Klingaman, A. G. Turner, B. Dong and L. Guo (2024). Climate Dynamics, 62: 1535-1553, submitted 23 December 2022, accepted 7 September 2023, published online 19 October 2023. |
    Abstract

  10. The Indian Easterly Jet during the Pre-monsoon Season in India. Croad, H. L., J. K. P. Shonk, A. Chevuturi, A. G. Turner and K. I. Hodges (2023). Geophysical Research Letters, 50(23): e2023GL105400, submitted 7 February 2022, revised version submitted 10 July 2023, second revision submitted 27 October 2023, accepted 9 November 2023, published 29 November 2023. |
    Abstract

  11. Unravelling the mechanism of summer monsoon rainfall modes over the west coast of India using model simulations. Phadtare, J., J. K. Fletcher, A. N. Ross, A. G. Turner, R. K. Schiemann and H. Burns (2023). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149(757): 3164-3182, submitted 16 December 2022, revised version submitted 15 May 2023, accepted 22 July 2023, first published 4 August 2023. |
    Abstract

  12. Validation of boreal summer tropical-extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts. Di Capua, G., D. Coumou, B. van der Hurk, A. Weissheimer, A. G. Turner and R. V. Donner (2023). Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4: 701-723, submitted 11 August 2022, revised version submitted 24 April 2023, further revisions 6 July 2023, accepted 7 July 2023, published 14 August 2023. | Discussions version, started 24 August 2022. |
    Abstract

  13. CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability. Monerie, P.-A., J. I. Robson, C. D. Ndiaye, C. Song and A. G. Turner (2023). Environmental Research Letters, 18: 094002, submitted 20 April 2023, accepted 20 July 2023, early online version 26 July 2023, published 7 August 2023. |
    Abstract

  14. The influence of weather patterns and the Madden-Julian Oscillation on extreme precipitation over Sri Lanka. Deoras, A., A. G. Turner, K. M. R. Hunt and I. M. Shiromani Priyanthika Jayawardena (2023). Geophysical Research Letters, submitted 16 March 2023, accepted 22 June 2023, published online 27 July 2023. |
    Abstract

  15. Uncertainty in simulating twentieth century West African precipitation trends: the role of anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Monerie, P.-A., A. Dittus, L. J. Wilcox and A. G. Turner (2023). Earth's Future, 11(2): e2022EF002995, submitted 22 June 2022, revised version submitted 18 October 2022, accepted 13 January 2023, first published 22 January 2023. |
    Abstract

  16. Intraseasonal oscillations of the Silk Road pattern lead to predictability in East Asian precipitation patterns and the Mei Yu front. Muetzelfeldt, M., R. K. Schiemann, A. G. Turner, P.-L. Vidale and A. Menon (2023). Environmental Research Communications, 5(1): 015003, submitted 23 September 2022, published 18 January 2023. |
    Abstract

  17. Nonlinear intensification of monsoon low pressure systems by the BSISO. Hunt, K. M. R. and A. G. Turner (2022). Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3: 1341-1358, submitted 9 June 2022, accepted 19 October 2022, published 18 November 2022. | Discussions version, started 14 June 2022. |
    Abstract

  18. Froude number-based rainfall regimes over the Western Ghats mountains of India. Phadtare, J. A., J. K. Fletcher, A. N. Ross, A. G. Turner and R. K. H. Schiemann (2022). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148(748): 3388-3405, submitted 27 December 2021, revised version submitted 7 June 2022, accepted 14 August 2022, published 7 October 2022. |
    Abstract

  19. The role of mid-tropospheric moistening and land surface wetting in the progression of the 2016 Indian monsoon. Menon, A., A. G. Turner, A Volonté, C. M. Taylor, S. Webster and G. M. Martin (2022). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148(747): 3033-3055, submitted 3 December 2020, accepted 4 October 2021, first published 11 October 2021. |
    Abstract

  20. The structure of strong Indian monsoon low-pressure systems in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction models. Deoras, A., K. M. R. Hunt and A. G. Turner (2022). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148(746): 2147-2166, submitted 4 August 2021, accepted 26 April 2022, first published 2 May 2022. |
    Abstract

  21. Characterising the interaction of tropical and extratropical air masses controlling East Asian summer monsoon progression using a novel frontal detection approach. Volonté, A., A. G. Turner, R. K. Schiemann, P.-L. Vidale and N. P. Klingaman (2022). Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3: 575-599, submitted 24 February 2021, accepted 8 April 2022, published 18 May 2022. | Discussions version, started 26 February 2021. |
    Abstract

  22. Katabatic and convective processes drive two preferred peaks in the precipitation diurnal cycle of the Central Himalaya. Hunt, K. M. R., A. G. Turner and R. K. H. Schiemann (2022). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148(745): 1731-1751, submitted 25 October 2021, accepted 19 March 2022, first published 27 March 2022. |
    Abstract

  23. Effects of anthropogenic aerosol and greenhouse gases emissions on Northern Hemisphere monsoon precipitation: mechanisms and uncertainty. Monerie, P.-A., L. J. Wilcox and A. G. Turner (2022). Journal of Climate, 35(8): 2305-2326, submitted 27 May 2021, revised version submitted 31 December 2021, accepted 4 January 2022, published online 25 March 2022, print 15 April 2022 |
    Abstract

  24. Projected changes in the East Asian hydrological cycle for different levels of future global warming. Chevuturi, A., N. P. Klingaman, A. G. Turner, L. Guo and P.-L. Vidale (2022). Atmosphere, 13(3): 405, submitted 15 December 2021, accepted 24 February 2022, published 1 March 2022. |
    Abstract

  25. Evaluation of Asian summer precipitation in different configurations of a high-resolution GCM at a range of decision-relevant spatial scales. Muetzelfeldt, M. R., R. K. H. Schiemann, A. G. Turner, N. P. Klingaman, M. J. Roberts and P.-L. Vidale (2021). Hydrology and Earth System Science, submitted 10 December 2020, accepted 11 November 2021, published 16 December 2021. | Discussions version, started 23 February 2020. |
    Abstract

  26. 2016 Monsoon Convection and its place in the Large-Scale Circulation using Doppler Radars. Doyle, A. J., T. H. M. Stein and A. G. Turner (2021). Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 26(22): 1-25, submitted 25 August 2020, revised version submitted 8 March 2021, accepted 1 November 2021, first published 5 November 2021. | ESSOAr preprint, v3 | DWR-derived convective cell statistics data: CEDA catalogue record / DOI / v2 CEDA catalogue record / DOI |
    Abstract

  27. Skilful seasonal predictions of Global Monsoon summer precipitation with DePreSys3. Monerie, P.-A., J. Robson, N. Dunstone and A. G. Turner (2021). Environmental Research Letters, 16: 104035, published online 28 September 2021. |
    Abstract

  28. Magnitude, scale, and dynamics of the 2020 Mei Yu rains and floods over China. Volonté, A., R. K. Schiemann, A. G. Turner and N. P. Klingaman (2021). Advances in Atmospheric Science, submitted 26 February 2021, accepted 13 July 2021. | Various news articles about this work by Institute for Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences: Phys.org, 4 October 2020; Newsbreak, 4 October 2020; Mirage News, 5 October 2020 | Article in AZO Cleantech, 5 October 2020 |
    Abstract

  29. The four varieties of Indian monsoon low-pressure systems and their modulation by tropical intraseasonal variability. Deoras, A., K. M. R. Hunt and A. G. Turner (2021). Weather, 76(6, Special Issue: Student Conference 2020): 194-200, published online 30 May 2021. |
    Abstract

  30. Temporal patterns in radar-observed convective cell development during the 2016 monsoon onset. Doyle, A., T. H. M. Stein and A. G. Turner (2021). Weather, 76(6, Special Issue: Student Conference 2020): 180-184, published online 10 May 2021. |
    Abstract

  31. How interactions between tropical depressions and western disturbances affect heavy precipitation in South Asia. Hunt, K. M. R., A. G. Turner and R. K. H. Schiemann (2021). Monthly Weather Review, 149(6): 1801-1825, published online 5 April 2021. |
    Abstract

  32. Comparison of the prediction of Indian monsoon low-pressure systems by the Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction project. Deoras, A., K. M. R. Hunt and A. G. Turner (2021). Weather and Forecasting, 36(3): 859-877, published online 23 February 2021. | LPS track data in S2S models, ERA-Interim & MERRA-2 |
    Abstract

  33. Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5). Chevuturi, A., A. G. Turner, S. Johnson, A. Weisheimer, R. Senan, J. K. P. Shonk and T. N. Stockdale (2021). Climate Dynamics, 56(May): 2941-2957, published online 9 February 2021. | UoR press release |
    Abstract

  34. Intraseasonal soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks on the Tibetan Plateau circulation. Talib, J., C. M. Taylor, A. Duan and A. G. Turner (2021). Journal of Climate, 34: 1789-1807, submitted 21 May 2020, accepted 22 October 2020, published online 2 November 2020. |
    Abstract

  35. Modes of coastal precipitation over southwest India and their relationship to intraseasonal variability. K. M. R. Hunt, A. G. Turner, T. H. M. Stein, J. K. Fletcher and R. K. H. Schiemann (2020) Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147(734): 181-201, submitted 1 June 2020, revised version submitted 27 August 2020, accepted 16 September 2020, published 16 October 2020. |
    Abstract

  36. Monsoon Climate Change Assessment. B. Wang, M. Biasutti, M. P. Byrne, C. Castro, C.-P. Chang, K. Cook, R. Fu, A. Grimm, K.-J. Ha, H. Hendon, A. Kitoh, R. Krishnan, J.-Y. Lee, J. Li, J. Liu, A. Moise, S. Pascale, M. K. Roxy, A. Seth, C.-H. Sui, A. G. Turner, S. Yang, K.-S. Yun, L. Zhang and T. Zhou (2021). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102(1): E1-E19, submitted 31 December 2019, accepted 17 April 2020, early online version 6 May 2020, published 1 January 2021. |
    Abstract

  37. Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century. Shonk, J., A. G. Turner, A. Chevuturi, L. Wilcox, A. Dittus and E. Hawkins (2020) Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20: 14903-14915, published 3 December 2020. | Discussions version, published 23 June 2020. | Data used in this work |
    Abstract

  38. Effects of horizontal resolution and air-sea coupling on simulated moisture sources for regional East Asian precipitation. Guo, L., R. J. van der Ent, N. P. Klingaman, M.-E. Demory, P.-L. Vidale, A. G. Turner, C. C. Stephan and Amulya Chevuturi (2020). Geoscientific Model Development, 13: 6011-6028, published 1 December 2020. | Discussions version published 8 May 2020. |
    Abstract

  39. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions. Wilcox, L. J., Z. Liu, B. H. Samset, E. Hawkins, M. T. Lund, K. Nordling, S. Undorf, M. Bollasina, A. M. L. Ekman, S. Krishnan, J. Merikanto and A. G. Turner (2020) Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20: 11955-11977, submitted 22 December 2019, published 26 October 2020. | Discussions version, published 30 January 2020. | Daily Mail news report citing this article Dramatic cuts to air pollution in Europe and Asia could SPEED UP climate change in the short term and lead to heatwaves and heavier rainfall - but 'doing nothing would be worse' | Guardian article discussing this work Drop in pollution may bring hotter weather and heavier monsoons |
    Abstract

  40. Dominant patterns of boreal summer interactions between tropics and mid-latitude: Causal relationships and the role of timescales. Di Capua, G., J. Runge, R. V. Donner, B. van den Hurk, A. G. Turner, R. Vellore, R. Krishnan and D. Coumou (2020). Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1: 519-539, submitted 17 April 2020, published 15 October 2020. | Discussions version, published 23 April 2020. |
    Abstract

  41. Vegetation forcing modulates global land monsoon and water resources in a CO2-enriched climate. Cui, J., S. Piao, C. Huntingford, X. Wang, X. Lian, A. Chevuturi, A. G. Turner and G. J. Kooperman (2020). Nature Communications, 11: article no. 5184, published 14 October 2020. |
    Abstract

  42. The impacts of climate change on the winter water cycle of the western Himalaya. Hunt, K. M. R., A. G. Turner and L. C. Shaffrey (2020). Climate Dynamics 55(October): 2287-2307, submitted 11 September 2019, accepted 11 June, published online 21 July 2020. |
    Abstract

  43. Airmass analysis of the processes driving the progression of the Indian summer monsoon. Volonté, A., A. G. Turner and A. Menon (2020). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(731): 2949-2980, submitted 28 March 2019, accepted 8 November 2019. |
    Abstract

  44. Performance of the NCMRWF convection-permitting model during contrasting monsoon phases of the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign. A. Jayakumar, S. J. Abel, A. G. Turner, S. Mohandas, J. Sethunath, D. O'Sullivan and E. N. Rajagopal (2020). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(731): 2928-2948, submitted 29 March 2019, accepted 22 October 2019. |
    Abstract

  45. A case study of land-atmosphere coupling during monsoon onset in northern India. E. Barton, C. M. Taylor, D. J. Parker, A. G. Turner, D. Belušiç, S. Böing, J. K. Brooke, R. C. Harlow, P. R. Harris, K. M. R. Hunt, A. Jayakumar and A. K. Mitra (2020). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(731): 2891-2905, submitted 29 November 2018, accepted 30 March 2019. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  46. The dynamic and thermodynamic structure of the monsoon over southern India: New observations from the INCOMPASS IOP. J. Fletcher, D. J. Parker, A. G. Turner, A. Menon, G. M. Martin, C. E. Birch, A. K. Mitra, G. Mrudula, K. M. R. Hunt, C. M. Taylor, R. A. Houze, S. R. Brodzik and G. S. Bhat (2020). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(731): 2867-2890, accepted 14 November 2018, first published online 21 December 2018. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  47. Interaction of Convective Organisation with Monsoon Precipitation, Atmosphere, Surface and Sea: the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign in India. A. G. Turner, G. S. Bhat, G. M. Martin, D. J. Parker, C. M. Taylor, A. K. Mitra, S. N. Tripathi, S. Milton, E. N. Rajagopal, J. G. Evans, R. Morrison, S. Pattnaik, M. Sekhar, B. K. Bhattacharya, R. Madan, Mrudula Govindankutty, J. K. Fletcher, P. D. Willetts, A. Menon, J. H. Marsham and the INCOMPASS team [K. M. R. Hunt, T. Chakraborty, G. George, M. Krishnan, C. Sarangi, D.Belušić, L. Garcia-Carreras, M. Brooks, S.Webster, J. K. Brooke, C. Fox, R. C. Harlow, J. M. Langridge, A. Jayakumar, S. J. Böing, O. Halliday, J. Bowles, J. Kent, D.O'Sullivan, A. Wilson, C. Woods, S. Rogers, R. Smout-Day, D. Tiddeman, D. Desai, R. Nigam, S. Paleri, A. Sattar, M. Smith, D. Anderson, S. Bauguitte, R. Carling, C. Chan, S. Devereau, G. Gratton, D. MacLeod, G. Nott, M. Pickering, H. Price, S. Rastall, C. Reed, J. Trembath, A.Woolley, A. Volonté and B. New] (2020). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(731): 2828-2852, submitted 14 November 2018, accepted 5 August 2019, first published 12 August 2019. |
    Abstract

  48. Assessing the performance of cloud microphysical parameterization over the Indian region: Simulation of monsoon depressions and validation with INCOMPASS observations V. Hazra, S. Pattnaik, A. Sisodiya, H. Baisya, A. G. Turner and G. S.Bhat (2020). Atmospheric Research, 239(July, 104925): 1-13, published online 21 February 2020. | Discussion of this paper in articles by Sahana Ghosh in Mongabay, A journey through the clouds to improve Indian monsoon forecast and Quartz India An Indian scientist flew along with the clouds to understand the monsoon on the INCOMPASS field campaign and the importance of cloud microphysics |
    Abstract

  49. The Recent Decline and Recovery of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall: Relative Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability. X. Huang, T. Zhou, A. G. Turner, A. Dai, X. Chen, R. Clark, J. Jiang, W. Man, J. Murphy, J. Rostron, B. Wu, L. Zhang, W. Zhang and L. Zou (2020). Journal of Climate, 33(June): 5035-5060. Submitted 5 November 2019, revised version submitted 3 March 2020, accepted 12 March 2020, version of record online 13 May 2020. | Article in The Hindu Business Line by TV Jayan citing this paper, Nature, not man, has a greater impact on monsoon, says study |
    Abstract

  50. A tale of two futures: contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of Regional Climate Models. A. Dosio, A. G. Turner, A. Tamoffo, M. Sylla, C. Lennard, R. G. Jones, L. Terray, G. Nikulin and B. Hewitson (2020) Environmental Research Letters, 15(6, June): 064007, published 19 May 2020. |
    Abstract

  51. Black carbon physical and optical properties across northern India during pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. J. Brooks, D. Liu, J. D. Allen, P. I. Willians, J. Haywood, E. J. Highwood, S. K. Kompalli, S. Suresh Babu, S. K. Satheesh, A. G. Turner and Hugh Coe (2019). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19: 13079-13096, published 23 October 2019. | ACPD discussion version |
    Abstract

  52. The impact of air-sea coupling and ocean biases on the seasonal cycle of southern West African precipitation. C. M. Wainwright, L. C. Hirons, N. P. Klingaman, R. P. Allan, E. Black and A. G. Turner (2019). Climate Dynamics, 53: 7027-7044, published online 16 September 2019. |
    Abstract

  53. Simulation of location-specific severe thunderstorm events using high-resolution land data assimilation. A. Sisodiya, S. Pattnaik, H. Baisya, G. S. Bhat and A. G. Turner (2019). Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 87: September 2019, article number 10198, published online 28 June 2019. |
    Abstract

  54. Falling trend of western disturbances in future climate simulations. K. M. R. Hunt, A. G. Turner and L. C. Shaffrey (2019). Journal of Climate, 32: 5037-5051, published online 24 May 2019. Authors' preprint | CEDA catalogue records RCP4.5 RCP8.5 / track data RCP4.5 RCP8.5 |
    Abstract

  55. The role of the subtropical jet in deficient winter precipitation across the mid-Holocene Indus basin. K. M. R. Hunt and A. G. Turner (2019). Geophysical Research Letters, 46(10): 5452-5459, published online 20 May 2019. Authors' preprint | CEDA catalogue record / track data |
    Abstract

  56. Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2). A. Chevuturi, A. G. Turner, S. J. Woolnough, G. M. Martin and C. MacLachlan (2019). Climate Dynamics, 52(11): 6599-6617, published online 24 November 2018. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  57. Vertical and horizontal distribution of sub-micron aerosol chemical composition and physical characteristics across Northern India, during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. J. Brooks, J. Allan, P. Williams, D. Liu, C. Fox, J. Haywood, J. Langridge, E. Highwood, S. K. Kompalli, D. O'Sullivan, S. Babu, S. Satheesh, A. G. Turner and H. Coe (2019). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19: 5615-5634, Special Issue on Interactions between aerosols and the South West Asian monsoon, published online 30 April 2019. | ACPD discussion version |
    Abstract

  58. Moisture sources for East Asian precipitation: mean seasonal cycle and interannual variability. L. Guo, R. J. van der Ent, N. P. Klingaman. M.-E. Demory, P. L. Vidale, A. G. Turner, C. C. Stephan and A. Chevuturi (2019). Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20(4): 657-672. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  59. Representation of western disturbances in CMIP5 models. K. M. R. Hunt, A. G. Turner and L. C. Shaffrey (2019). Journal of Climate, 32(7): 1997-2011. Authors' preprint | CEDA catalogue record / CMIP5 historical track data |
    Abstract

  60. Climatology of Tibetan Plateau vortices in reanalysis data and a high-resolution global climate model. J. Curio, R. K. Schiemann, K. I. Hodges and A. G. Turner (2019). Journal of Climate, 32(6): 1933-1950. Authors' preprint | Supplementary material |
    Abstract

  61. A mechanism for the interdecadal variability of the Silk Road Pattern. C. C. Stephan, N. P. Klingaman and A. G. Turner (2019). Journal of Climate, 32: 717-736. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  62. Impact of ENSO longitudinal position on teleconnections to the NAO. W. Zhang, Z. Wang, M. F. Stuecker, A. G. Turner, F.-F. Jin and X. Geng (2019). Climate Dynamics, 52(1-2): 257-274. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  63. A nonstationary ENSO-NAO relationship due to AMO modulation. W. Zhang, X. Wei, X. Geng, A. G. Turner and F.-F. Jin (2019). Journal of Climate, 32: 33-43. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  64. The contributions of local and remote atmospheric moisture fluxes to East Asian precipitation and its variability. L. Guo, N. P. Klingaman, M.-E. Demory, P.-L. Vidale, A. G. Turner and C. C. Stephan (2018). Climate Dynamics, 51(11-12): 4139-4156, first published online 13 January 2018. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  65. Subtropical Westerly Jet Influence on Occurrence of Western Disturbances and Tibetan Plateau Vortices. K. M. R. Hunt, J. Curio, A. G. Turner and R. Schiemann (2018). Geophysical Research Letters, 45(16): 8629-8636, published online 13 August 2018. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  66. The impact of Indian Ocean mean-state biases on the representation of the East African short rains. L. C. Hirons and A. G. Turner (2018). Journal of Climate, 31: 6611-6631. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  67. Intraseasonal summer rainfall variability over China in the MetUM GA6 and GC2 configurations. C. C. Stephan, N. Klingaman, P.-L. Vidale, A. G. Turner, M.-E. Demory and L. Guo (2018). Geoscientific Model Development, 11: 3215-3288. GMDD discussion version |
    Abstract

  68. Different Asian monsoon rainfall responses to idealised orography sensitivity experiments in the HadGEM3-GA6 and FGOALS-FAMIL global climate models. K.-C. Wong, S. Liu, A. G. Turner and R. K. Schiemann (2018). Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(8): 1049-1062. Authors' preprint | AAS URL | YouTube slides about this work |
    Abstract

  69. Comparison of a manual and an automated tracking method for Tibetan Plateau Vortices. J. Curio, Y. Chen, R. Schiemann, A. G. Turner, K. C. Wong, K. Hodges and Y. Li (2018). Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(8): 965-980. Authors' preprint | AAS URL | YouTube slides about this work |
    Abstract

  70. Modelling the moistening of the free troposphere during the northwestward progression of Indian monsoon onset. A. Menon, A. G. Turner, G. M. Martin and C. MacLachlan (2018). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144(713): 1152-1168. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  71. A comprehensive analysis of coherent rainfall patterns in China and potential drivers. Part II: Intraseasonal variability. C. C. Stephan, N. P. Klingaman, P. L. Vidale, A. G. Turner, M.-E. Demory and L. Guo (2018). Climate Dynamics, 51(1-2): 17-33. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  72. A comprehensive analysis of coherent rainfall patterns in China and potential drivers. Part I: Interannual variability. C. C. Stephan, N. P. Klingaman, P. L. Vidale, A. G. Turner, M.-E. Demory and L. Guo (2018). Climate Dynamics, 50(11-12): 4405-4424. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  73. The role of potential vorticity anomalies in the Somali Jet on Indian Summer Monsoon Intraseasonal Variability. P. Rai, M. Joshi, A. P. Dimri and A. G. Turner (2018). Climate Dynamics, 50(11-12): 4149-4169. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  74. Interannual rainfall variability over China in the MetUM GA6 and GC2 configurations. C. C. Stephan, N. P. Klingaman, P.-L. Vidale, A. G. Turner, M.-E. Demory and L. Guo (2018). Geoscientific Model Development, 11: 1823-1847. Publisher version | GMDD discussion version |
    Abstract

  75. Extreme daily rainfall in Pakistan and north India: scale-interactions, mechanisms, and precursors. K. M. R. Hunt, A. G. Turner and L. C. Shaffrey (2018). Monthly Weather Review, 146: 1005-1022, April 2018. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  76. Projected changes in the Asian-Australian monsoon region in 1.5°C and 2.0°C global-warming scenarios. A. Chevuturi, N. P. Klingaman, A. G. Turner and S. Hannah (2018). Earth's Future, 6(3): 339-358, March 2018. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  77. Vertical Structure and Radiative Forcing of Monsoon Clouds over Kanpur during the INCOMPASS Campaign. G. George, C. Sarangi, S. N. Tripathi, T. Chakraborty and A. G. Turner (2018). Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 123 (4): 2152-2174. Authors' preprint | CEDA catalogue record / radiosonde data |
    Abstract

  78. Maritime Continent seasonal climate biases in AMIP experiments of the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble. Y. Y. Toh, A. G. Turner, S. J. Johnson and C. E. Holloway (2018). Climate Dynamics, 50(3-4): 777-800. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  79. The evolution, seasonality, and impacts of western disturbances. K. M. R. Hunt, A. G. Turner and L. C. Shaffrey (2018). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144(710): 278-290. Authors' preprint | CEDA catalogue record / ERA-Interim track data |
    Abstract

  80. The effect of soil moisture perturbations on Indian Monsoon Depressions in a numerical weather prediction model. K. M. R. Hunt and A. G. Turner (2017). Journal of Climate, 30(21): 8811-8823. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  81. Boreal summer sub-seasonal variability of the South Asian monsoon in the Met Office GloSea5 initialized coupled model. A. Jayakumar, A. G. Turner, S. J. Johnson, E. N. Rajagopal, Saji Mohandas and A. K. Mitra (2017). Climate Dynamics, 49(5-6, September): 2035-2059. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  82. The 2015 Indian summer monsoon onset - Phenomena, forecasting and research flight planning. Willetts, P., A. G. Turner, G. M. Martin, G. Mrudula, K. M. R. Hunt, D. J. Parker, C. M. Taylor, C. E. Birch, A. K. Mitra, J. T. Heming and M. E. Brooks (2017) Weather 72(6, June): 168-175. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  83. Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to atmospheric moisture transport and rainfall over East Asia. L. Guo, N. P. Klingaman, P. L. Vidale, A. G. Turner M.-E. Demory and A. Cobb (2017). Journal of Climate, 30(10, May): 3853-3865. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  84. The effect of horizontal resolution on Indian monsoon depressions in the Met Office NWP model. K. M. R. Hunt and A. G. Turner (2017). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143(705, April, Part B): 1756-1771. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  85. An assessment of Indian monsoon seasonal forecasts and mechanisms underlying monsoon interannual variability in the Met Office GloSea5-GC2 system. S. J. Johnson, A. G. Turner, S. J. Woolnough, G. M. Martin and C. MacLachlan (2017). Climate Dynamics, 48(5, March): 1447-1465. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  86. The Spatiotemporal Structure of Precipitation in Indian Monsoon Depressions. K. M. R. Hunt, A. G. Turner and D. E. Parker (2016). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142(701): 3195-3210.
    Abstract

  87. GMMIP (v1.0) contribution to CMIP6: Global Monsoons Model Inter-comparison Project. T. Zhou, A. G. Turner, J. Kinter, B. Wang, Y. Qian, X. Chen, B. Wu, B. Wang, B. Liu, L. Zou and B. He (2016). Geoscientific Model Development, 9: 3589-3604. Publisher link | GMDD discussion version |
    Abstract

  88. Local and remote impacts of aerosol species on Indian summer monsoon rainfall in a GCM. L. Guo, A. G. Turner and E. J. Highwood (2016). Journal of Climate, 29(19): 6937-6955. Open Access PDF | Supplementary material | CEDA catalogue record (model experiment data download) |
    Abstract

  89. On the Structure and Dynamics of Indian Monsoon Depressions. Kieran M. R. Hunt, Andrew G. Turner, Peter M. Inness, David Parker, and Richard C. Levine (2016). Monthly Weather Review, 144: 3391-3416. Open access PDF version |
    Abstract

  90. The interaction of moist convection and mid-level dry air in the advance of the onset of the Indian monsoon. D. J. Parker, P. Willetts, C. Birch, A. G. Turner, J. H. Marsham, C. M. Taylor, S. Kolusu and G. M. Martin (2016). Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142(699): 2256-2272. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  91. A New Understanding of El Niño's Impact over East Asia: Dominance of the ENSO Combination Mode. W. Zhang, H. Li, M. Stuecker, F.-F. Jin and A. G. Turner (2016). Journal of Climate, 29(12), 4347-4359, published online 8 June 2016. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  92. The resolution sensitivity of the South Asian monsoon and Indo-Pacific in a global 0.35° AGCM. S. J. Johnson*, R. C. Levine, A. G. Turner, G. M. Martin, S. J. Woolnough, R. Schiemann, M. S. Mizielinski, M. J. Roberts, P. L. Vidale, M.-E. Demory and J. Strachan (2016). Climate Dynamics, 46(3): 807-831. *Note that S. J. Johnson was formerly known as S. J. Bush. Open access PDF version |
    Abstract

  93. Impact of different El Niño types on the El Niño/IOD relationship W. Zhang, Y. Wang, F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stucker and A. G. Turner (2015). Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 8570-8576, first published 19 October 2015. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  94. The annual cycle modulation of meridional asymmetry in ENSO's atmospheric response and its depenence on ENSO zonal structure. W. Zhang, H. Li, F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stucker, A. G. Turner, and N. P. Klingaman (2015). Journal of Climate, 28(14), 5795-5812. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  95. Seasonal intercomparison of observational rainfall datasets over India during the southwest monsoon season. S. Prakash, A.K. Mitra, I.M. Momin, E.N. Rajagopal, S. Basu, M. Collins, A. G. Turner, K. AchutoRao and K. Ashok (2015). International Journal of Climatology, 35(9), 2326-2338, first published online 12 August 2014. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  96. Impacts of 20th century aerosol emissions on the South Asian monsoon in the CMIP5 models. L. Guo, A. G. Turner and E. J. Highwood (2015). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15, 6367-6378, published 11 June 2015 | Online version (open access) | ACPD Discussion version (open access) | UoR Meteorology blog entry | CEDA catalogue record / data for this article |
    Abstract

  97. The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India. C. M. Dunning, A. G. Turner and D. J. Brayshaw (2015). Environmental Research Letters, 10(6), 064002, published 2 June 2015. Open access PDF version | Blog article about this work (David Brayshaw) | Poster for ICEM conference | Walker Institute paper of the month precis | environmentalresearchweb news article (Kate Ravilious) | NCAS Science Highlight (PDF) |
    Abstract

  98. The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Bush, S. J., A. G. Turner, S. J. Woolnough, Gill M. Martin and N. P. Klingaman (2015) Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141: 311-326, January 2015. Open access PDF version |
    Abstract

  99. Increasing Autumn Drought over Southern China associated with ENSO Regime Shift. W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin and A. G. Turner (2014) Geophysical Research Letters, 41(11): 4020-4026, 16 June 2014. Authors' preprint | Highlight in Nature Climate Change | NCAS Science Highlight (PDF) |
    Abstract

  100. The Asian Summer Monsoon: An Intercomparison of CMIP5 vs. CMIP3 Simulations of the Late 20th Century. Sperber, K. R., H. Annamalai, I.-S. Kang, A. Kitoh, A. Moise, A. Turner, B. Wang and T. Zhou (2013) Climate Dynamics, 41: 2711-2744. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  101. Observational Challenges in Evaluating Climate Models. Collins, M., K. AchutaRao, K. Ashok, S. Bhandari, A. Mitra, S. Prakash, R. Srivastava and A. G. Turner (2013) Nature Climate Change, 3: 941-942. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  102. 20th century intraseasonal Asian monsoon dynamics viewed from Isomap. Hannachi, A. and Turner, A. G. (2013) Nonlinear Processes in Geophyics, 20: 725-741. Open access PDF version |
    Abstract

  103. The role of northern Arabian Sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 model simulations and future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall. Levine, R. C., A. G. Turner, D. Marathayil and G. M. Martin (2013) Climate Dynamics, 41(1), pgs 155-172. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  104. Isomap nonlinear dimensionality reduction and bimodality of monsoon convection. Hannachi, A. and A. G. Turner (2013) Geophys. Res. Letts., 40(8), 1653-1658. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  105. Systematic winter SST biases in the northern Arabian Sea in HiGEM and the CMIP3 models. Marathayil, D., A. G. Turner, L. C. Shaffrey and R. C. Levine (2013) Environ. Res. Letts., 8(1), article no. 014028. Open acess PDF version | environmentalresearchweb Insight article | NCAS Science Highlight (PDF) |
    Abstract

  106. The use of land/sea warming contrast under climate change to improve impact metrics. Joshi, M. M., A. G. Turner and C. Hope (2013) Climatic Change, 117(4): 951-960. Published online 19 February 2013. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  107. The effect of regional changes in anthropogenic aerosols on rainfall of the East Asian summer monsoon. Guo, L., E. J. Highwood, L. C. Shaffrey and A. G. Turner (2013) Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13: 1521-1534. Published online 6 February 2013. Authors' preprint | Open access PDF version |
    Abstract

  108. Will the South Asian monsoon overturning circulation stabilize any further? Krishnan, R., T. P. Sabin, D. C. Ayantika, A. Kitoh, M. Sugi, H. Murakami, A. G. Turner, J. M. Slingo and K. Rajendran (2013) Clim. Dyn., 40(1): 187-211. Published online 29 February 2012. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  109. Climate Change and the South Asian summer monsoon. Turner, A.G. and H. Annamalai (2012) Nature Climate Change, 2: 587-595. Published online 24 June 2012. Authors' preprint | Various media activity about this article | University of Hawaii/SOEST press release |
    Abstract

  110. The effect of Arabian Sea optical properties on SST biases and the South Asian summer monsoon in a coupled GCM. Turner, A.G., M. Joshi, E.S. Robertson and S.J. Woolnough (2012) Clim. Dyn., 39(3-4): 811-826. Published online 11 December 2011. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  111. Dependence of Indian monsoon rainfall on moisture fluxes across the Arabian Sea and the impact of coupled model sea surface temperature biases. Levine, R.C. and A.G. Turner (2012) Clim. Dyn. 38(11-12): 2167-2190. Published online 24 May 2011. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  112. Using idealized snow forcing to test teleconnections with the Indian summer monsoon in the Hadley Centre GCM. Turner, A.G. and J.M. Slingo (2011) Clim. Dyn., 36(9): 1717-1735. Published online 11 April 2010. Authors' preprint | UoR press release | UoR Knowledge Exchange Newsletter featuring this work |
    Abstract

  113. Is there regime behaviour in Monsoon Convection in the Late 20th Century? Turner, A.G. and A. Hannachi (2010) Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L16706. Published online 25 August 2010. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  114. A regime view of the North Atlantic Oscillation and its response to anthropogenic forcing. Woollings, T.J., A. Hannachi, B.J. Hoskins and A.G. Turner (2010) J. Clim., 23(6): 1291-1307. Published online 15 March 2010. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  115. Uncertainties in future projections of extreme precipitation in the Indian monsoon region. Turner, A.G. and J.M. Slingo (2009) Atmos. Sci. Lett. 10(3): 152-168. Published online 3 June 2009. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  116. Subseasonal extremes of precipitation and active-break cycles of the Indian summer monsoon in a climate change scenario. Turner, A.G. and J.M. Slingo (2009) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 135(640): 549-567. Published online 23 March 2009. Authors' preprint | UoR press release | NERC Science achievement 2007-08 article on this work | Article on this work in the University of Reading's summer 2009 Research Review |
    Abstract

  117. Preferred structures in large scale circulation and the effect of doubling greenhouse gas concentration in HadCM3. Hannachi, A. and A.G. Turner (2008) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 134(631): 469-480. Published online 4 April 2008.
    Abstract

  118. The effect of doubled CO2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-ENSO system. II: Changing ENSO regimes. Turner, A.G., P.M. Inness and J.M. Slingo (2007) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133(622): 1159-1173. Published online 10 July 2007. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  119. The effect of doubled CO2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-ENSO system. I: Mean response and interannual variability. Turner, A.G., P.M. Inness and J.M. Slingo (2007) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133(622): 1143-1157. Published online 3 July 2007. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  120. The role of the basic state in the ENSO-Monsoon relationship and implications for predictability Turner, A.G., P.M. Inness and J.M. Slingo (2005) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 131, 607, pgs 781-804. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

Non-refereed publications

  • Climate Science: A Summary for Actuaries - What the IPCC Climate Change Report 2021 Means for the Actuarial Profession. Connors, S., M. Dionne, G. Hanák, R. Musulin, N. Aellen, M. Amjad, S. Bowen, D. R. Carrascal, E. Coppola, E. D. Moro, A. Dosio, S. H. Faria, T. Y. Gan, M. Gomis, J. M. Gutiérrez, P. Hope, R. Kopp, S. Krakovska, K. Leitzell, D. Maraun, V. Masson-Delmotte, R. Matthews, T. Maycock, S. Paddam, G.-K. Plattner, A. Pui, M. Rahimi, R. Ranasinghe, J. Rogelj, A. C. Ruane, S. Szopa, A. Turner, R. Vautard, Y. Velichkova, A. Weigel and X. Zhang (2022). International Actuarial Association, published March 2022. | PDF |
    Abstract

  • Indo-UK Joint Monsoon Campaign: Projects under Monsoon Mission. Turner, A.G. (2020). CLIVAR Exchanges, 79 (Special Issue on India's Monsoon Mission): 38-41.

  • Preface to the INCOMPASS Special Collection Turner, A. G. and G. S. Bhat (2020) Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(731): 2826-2827, first published 13 August 2020. | The INCOMPASS Special Collection

  • The Indian Monsoon in a changing climate Turner, A. G. (2020) Weather 75(1): 18-18. | This article is part of the Climate Change Insights series. | Authors' preprint

  • Solving the mysteries of the monsoon. Turner, A. G. Planet Earth (Autumn 2016) Natural Environment Research Council. | PDF of Autumn 2016 Planet Earth.

  • RMetS conference workshop: monsoons and their teleconnections. Williams, C. J. R. and A. G. Turner (2013) Atmos. Sci. Letts. 14(1), pgs 52-53. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  • Atmospheric Low Frequency Variability: The Examples of the North Atlantic and the Indian Monsoon Hannachi, A., T. Woollings and A. G. Turner (2012). In Climate Variability - Some Aspects, Challenges and Prospects (Ed. A. Hannachi) ISBN: 978-953-307-699-7, InTech. PDF |
    Abstract

  • Forthcoming International workshop on interdecadal variability of the global monsoons Turner, A., B. Wang and C. Ereño. CLIVAR Exchanges 58(Vol 17, No. 1) February 2012, pp53-54.

  • Monsoon collapse following super-volcanic eruption? Turner, A. G., B. M. Harris and E. J. Highwood. Extended abstract for the OCHAMP-2012 conference, IITM, Pune, India, 21-25 February, 2012.
    Abstract

  • The effect of Arabian Sea optical properties on SST biases and the South Asian summer monsoon in a coupled GCM. Turner, A. G., M. Joshi, E. S. Robertson and S. J. Woolnough. Extended abstract for the OCHAMP-2012 conference, IITM, Pune, India, 21-25 February, 2012.
    Abstract

  • The Global Monsoon Systems factsheet, October 2011. Produced as a joint effort among the CLIVAR Asian-Australian Monsoon Panel and the GEWEX Monsoon Asian Hydro-Atmosphere Scientific Research and Prediction Initiative.
    Abstract

  • Report on WMO IWM-IV, Beijing, October 2008. Turner, A.G. UCLA TROPICAL METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATE NEWSLETTER 85 SECTION A (May 11, 2009)

  • Modelling Monsoons: Understanding and predicting current and future behaviour. Slingo, J., A. Giannini, M. Kimoto, C. Roberto Mechoso, G. Meehl, K. Sperber and A. Turner. Proceedings of the Fourth WMO International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-IV), (Beijing, October 2008) World Meteorological Organization

  • Indian summer. Turner, A.G. Planet Earth, (Spring 2007) Natural Environment Research Council. Planet Earth Online version.

  • Indian Monsoon: Contribution to Stern Review. Challinor, A.J., J.M. Slingo, A.G. Turner and T. Wheeler (2006). Also available from www.sternreview.org.uk

  • UGAMP newsletter article (November 2003). | Web version.

Book chapters

    IPCC AR6 Lead Author

  • Linking Global to Regional Climate Change. Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W. J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B. L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T. S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, Z. Zuo (2021). In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. In Press. | Supplementary Material

  • IPCC, 2021: Annex V: Monsoons [Cherchi, A., A. Turner (eds.)]. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. In Press.
  • IPCC AR6 Contributing Author

  • Technical Summary
  • Chapter 2: Changing State of the Climate System
  • Chapter 4: Future Global Climate: Scenario-Based Projections and Near-Term Information
  • Interdecadal variability of the Asian monsoons. A. G. Turner and B. Wang. Chapter 23 in The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, 3rd Edition, World Scientific Publishing Company, Singapore, submitted May 2014, in press September 2016. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  • Modelling Monsoons. K. R. Sperber, E. Cusiner, A. Kitoh, C. R. Mechoso, A. Moise, W. Moufouma-Okia, K. Schiro and A. G. Turner. Chapter 7 in The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, 3rd Edition, World Scientific Publishing Company, Singapore, submitted April 2014, in press July 2016. Authors' preprint |
    Abstract

  • Modelling Monsoons: Understanding and Predicting Current and Future Behaviour. Turner, A., K. Sperber, J. Slingo, G. Meehl, C. R. Mechoso, M. Kimoto and A. Giannini. In The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, 2nd Edition, World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate. Vol. 5, pgs 421-454 (Eds. C.-P. Chang, Y. Ding, G. N.-C. Lau, R. H. Johnson, B. Wang and T. Yasunari), World Scientific Publishing Company, Singapore. ISBN: 978-981-4343-40-4, published 20 March 2011.
    Abstract

Thesis

Unpublished

  • The sensitivity of the El Niño-Indian monsoon teleconnection to Maritime Continent cold SST anomalies. Uppara, U., B. Webber, M. Joshi and A. G. Turner (2022). Geophysical Research Letters, submitted 14 October 2020, revised version submitted 15 December 2021, revised version submitted 15 October 2022.

  • Hydrometeorological drivers of flood characteristics in the Brahmaputra river basin in Bangladesh. Hossain, S., H. L. Cloke, A. Ficchì, A. G. Turner and E. M. Stephens (2021). Hydrology and Earth System Science, submitted 14 February 2021, discussions version published online 9 April 2021.

  • Hydrometeorological drivers of the 2017 flood in the Brahmaputra basin in Bangladesh. S. Hossain, H. L. Cloke, A. Ficchì, A. G. Turner and E. M. Stephens. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, submitted 5 June 2019. | HESSD discussion version |
    Abstract

  • Inter-comparison of large-scale weather in the NCMRWF NWP model and FAAM aircraft measurements during the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign. A. Sandeep, A. K. Mitra, A. G. Turner, E. N. Rajagopal, K. Amar Jyothi, G. S. Bhat and A. Jayakumar. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, submitted 14 May 2019.
  • Simulating the association of sub-seasonal climate events and crop yield variability over India. S. Gummadi, T. Wheeler, T. Osborne and A. G. Turner. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, submitted 21 July 2014.

  • The role of peninsular India in the South Asian summer monsoon. A. G. turner, G. M. Martin and R. C. Levine. Climate Dynamics, submitted 27 September 2013. | Submitted PDF | Poster presentation (OCHAMP conference, Pune) |
    Abstract

  • A fully resolved stratosphere and sea-ice initialisation: upgrades to the GloSea4 seasonal forecasting system. Arribas, A., C. MacLachlan, K. Peterson, A. Maidens, D. Fereday, A. Scaife, M. Gordon, M. Vellinga, A. Williams, P. Xavier, T. Hinton and A. G. Turner. Monthly Weather Review, submitted 18 December 2012.

  • Monsoon collapse following tropical super-volcanic eruptions. Turner, A. G., B. M. Harris and E. J. Highwood. Geophys. Res. Letts., submitted, 22 May 2012.

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