Ver-AI workshop on Verification of AI-Based Meteorological Forecasts, Reading 2025
Global medium range meteorological forecasting models based on methods from machine learning, with training data provided by various reanalysis experiments, have seen rapid development over the last few years.
In terms of simple and overall measures of skill such as mean square errors, AI-based forecasts clearly show very promising skill, but proper and in-depth assessment of these models and the quality of their forecasts is still very incomplete.
Following on from the successful VerAI 2024 workshop, we want to continue with the discussion about how to carry out such assessments.
For instance while there is a well established methodology for verification of meteorological forecasts, it is not clear to what extent this methodology needs to be adapted or modified for AI based models.
The workshop will allow plenty of opportunity for discussion, in particular (but not limited to) the following focus points:
- Long term dynamical and statistical properties of AI-based models: stability, Lyapunov exponents, and growth of uncertainty;
- Benchmarking, datasets, and WP-MIP: preparing for a future with AI based weather forecasting;
- Physical realism and interpretability: representation of complex spatio-temporal patterns, atmospheric balances, and events of extreme magnitude and duration.
Dates, Times: 23rd of June, 12 noon to 24th of June, 4.30pm
Venue: Sutcliffe Lecture Theatre, Brian Hoskins Building, University of Reading.
Speakers: (a full programme will appear here)
TBC
Registration:
Please use this form to register by the 2nd of May 2025! University of Reading staff may attend without registration.
Travel Information
The Brian Hoskins building (aka Meteorology building) is building No 58 on this map of UoR Whiteknights campus. An excellent bus service runs from Reading station to Whiteknights campus with the Line 21 "Claret".
Organisers:
Jochen Bröcker, University of Reading and Zied Ben Bouallegue, ECMWF.
Copyright © 2025, Jochen Bröcker