Jon Robson : DYNamics and predictability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning and Climate (DYNAMOC) : UoR, Dept Of Meteorology

See also

DYNamics and predictability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning and Climate (DYNAMOC)



DYNAMOC is focused on furthering the understanding the role of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in climate variability and predictability. In particular we are interested in the mechanisms that control the predictable component of AMOC variability on seasonal-to-decadal time-scales, the robustness of these mechanisms at high-resolution, and how AMOC variability can impact on the wider climate.

DYNAMOC was funded as part of the RAPID-AMOC program. It is a collaboration between the National Centre for Atmospheric Science at the University of Reading, the National Oceanographic Centre at the University of Southampton, and the UK Met Office.

Who's involved


Jon Robson, Rowan Sutton and Pablo Ortega


Joël Hirschi, Bablu Sinha, Adam Blaker and Agathe Germe

Met Office

Doug Smith, Adam Scaife, Leon Hermanson and Nick Dunstone

DYNAMOC Publications


  • Decadal variability of convection in the Irminger Sea: the role of subsurface salinity; Pablo Ortega, Jon Robson and Rowan Sutton, Submitted to Climate Dynamics


  • Robson, J., Polo, I., Hodson, D. L. R., Stevens, D. P. and Shaffrey, L. C. (2017) Decadal prediction of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3649-2
  • Yeager, S. G. and Robson, J. I. (2017) Recent progress in understanding and predicting Atlantic decadal climate variability. Current Climate Change Reports. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: 10.1007/s40641-017-0064-z
  • Ortega, P., Robson, J., Sutton, R. T. and Andrews, M. B. (2016) Mechanisms of decadal variability in the Labrador Sea and the wider North Atlantic in a high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3467-y


  • Robson, J., Ortega, P. and Sutton, R. (2016) A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005. Nature Geoscience, 9 (7). pp. 513-517. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo2727
  • Menary, M. B., L. Hermanson, and N. J. Dunstone (2016), The impact of Labrador Sea temperature and salinity variability on density and the subpolar AMOC in a decadal prediction system, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 12,217-12,227, doi:10.1002/2016GL070906.
  • Moat, B.I.; Josey, S.A.; Sinha, B.; Blaker, A.T.; Smeed, D.A.; McCarthy, G.; Johns, W.E.; Hirschi, J.-M.; Frajka-Williams, E.; Rayner, D.; Duchez, A.; Coward, A.C.. 2016 Major variations in subtropical North Atlantic heat transport at short (5 day) timescales and their causes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121 (5). 3237-3249. 10.1002/2016JC011660


  • Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R., Robson, J. I. , Sutton, R. T., Wood, R. A. and Hunt, J. A. (2015) Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (14). pp. 5926-5934. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL064360