Tom Osborne
Research Scientist: NCAS-Climate
My research interests include:
- Understanding the impacts of climate variability and change on crop productivity
- Examining the fully-coupled interactions of crops and climate.
I am also a Knowledge Exchange fellow enabling the Agri-food business sector to better access relevant NERC-funded science.
Publications for t.m.osborne@reading.ac.uk
2013
Hawkins, E., Osborne, T. M., Ho, C. K. and Challinor, A. J. (2013) Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: an idealised case study over Europe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 19-31. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.04.007
Osborne, T., Rose, G. and Wheeler, T. (2013) Variation in the global-scale impacts of climate change on crop productivity due to climate model uncertainty and adaptation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 183-194. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.07.006
Hawkins, E., Fricker, T. E., Challinor, A. J., Ferro, C. A. T., Ho, C. K. and Osborne, T. M. (2013) Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s. Global Change Biology, 19 (3). pp. 937-947. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1111/gcb.12069
Osborne, T. M. and Wheeler, T. R. (2013) Evidence for a climate signal in trends of global crop yield variability over the past 50 years. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (2). 024001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024001
Arnell, N. W., Lowe, J. A., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Gottschalk, P., Hinkel, J., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Nicholls, R. J., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, T. M., Rose, G. A., Smith, P. and Warren, R. F. (2013) A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change. Nature Climate Change. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate1793
2012
Black, E., Vidale, P. L., Verhoef, A., Vianna Cuadra, S., Osborne, T. and Van Den Hoof, C. (2012) Cultivating C4 crops in a changing climate: sugarcane in Ghana. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (4). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044027
2011
Shaw, M. W. and Osborne, T. M. (2011) Geographic distribution of plant pathogens in response to climate change. Plant Pathology, 60 (1). pp. 31-43. ISSN 0032-0862 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-3059.2010.02407.x
2009
Osborne, T. M., Slingo, J. M., Lawrence, D. and Wheeler, T. R. (2009) Examining the interaction of growing crops with local climate using a coupled crop-climate model. Journal of Climate, 22 (6). pp. 1393-1411. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2494.1
Challinor, A., Osborne, T. M., Morse, A., Shaffrey, L. C., Wheeler, T. R., Weller, H. and Vidale, P. L. (2009) Methods and resources for climate impacts research: achieving synergy. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (6). pp. 836-848. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2008BAMS2403.1
2007
Osborne, T. M., Lawrence, D.M., Challinor, A. J., Slingo, J.M. and Wheeler, T. R. (2007) Development and assessment of a coupled crop-climate model. Global Change Biology, 13 (1). pp. 169-183. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01274.x
Wheeler, T. R., Challinor, A. J., Osborne, T. M. and Slingo, J. M. (2007) Development of a combined crop and climate forecasting system for seasonal to decadal predictions. In: Sivakumar, M. V. K. and Hansen, J. (eds.) Climate Prediction and Agriculture: Advances and Challenges. Springer, Berlin, pp. 31-39. ISBN 9783540446491
2006
Challinor, A. J., Wheeler, T. R., Osborne, T. M. and Slingo, J. M. (2006) Assessing the vulnerability of crop productivity to climate change thresholds using an integrated crop-climate model. In: Schellnhuber, J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T. M. L. and Yohe, G. (eds.) Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 187-194. ISBN 9780521864718 doi: 10.2277/0521864712
2005
Challinor, A. J., Wheeler, T. R., Slingo, J. M. and Osborne, T. M. (2005) Climate variability, climate change and crop productivity in the tropics. Outlooks on Pest Management, April. pp. 1-4. doi: 10.1564/16apl07
Osborne, T. M., Slingo, J. M., Wheeler, T. R., Challinor, A. J. and Lawrence, D. M. (2005) Examining the impact of crop cultivation on climate with a general circulation model (GCM). Journal of Agricultural Science, 143. p. 319.
2004
Osborne, T. M., Lawrence, D. M., Slingo, J. M., Challinor, A. J. and Wheeler, T. R. (2004) Influence of vegetation on the local climate and hydrology in the tropics: sensitivity to soil parameters. Climate Dynamics, 23 (1). pp. 45-61. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-004-0421-1
2003
Slingo, J.M., Guilyardi, E., Hodges, K.I., Hoskins, B.J., Inness, P.M., Lawrence, D.M., Neale, R., Osborne, T.M., Spencer, H. and Yang, G.Y. (2003) How good is the Hadley Centre climate model? Research at CGAM on identifying and understanding model systematic errors: 1999-2002 - CGAM/NCAS Report. Technical Report. UNSPECIFIED