Publications

Submitted

• E. B. Suckling, E. Hawkins and N. Dunstone, A two-tier approach to decadal prediction, Submitted to Geophysical Research Letters

In Press

2017

• E. Hawkins et al. (2017), Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0007.1

2016

• E. B. Suckling, G. J. van Oldenborgh, J. M. Eden and E. Hawkins (2016), An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: Global attribution and regional analysis, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3255

2015

• J. M. Eden, G. J. van Oldenborgh, E. Hawkins and E. B. Suckling (2015), A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction, Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 3947-3973, doi: 10.5194/gmd-8-3947-2015
• R. Sutton, E. B. Suckling and E. Hawkins (2015), What does global temperature tell us about local climate? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 373, 2054, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0426
• L. A. Smith, E. B. Suckling, E. L. Thompson, T. Maynard and H. Du (2015), Towards improving the framework for probabilistic forecast evaluation, Climatic Change, 132, 1:31-45, doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1430-2

2014

• A. Lopez, E. B. Suckling, F. E. L. Otto, A. Lorenz, D. Rowlands and M. R. Allen (2014), Towards a typology for constrained climate model forecasts, Climatic Change, 132, 1:15-29, doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1292-z
• L. A. Smith, H. Du, E. B. Suckling and F. Niehoerster (2014), Probabilistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 689:1085-1100, doi: 10.1002/qj.2403
• A. Wesselink et al. (2014), Equipped to deal with uncertainty in climate and impacts predictions: lessons from internal peer review, Climatic Change, 132, 1:1-14, doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1213-1

2013

• E. B. Suckling and L. A. Smith (2013), An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from state-of-the-art climate models, Journal of Climate, 26, 23:9334-9347, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00485.1
• F. E. L. Otto, C. A. T. Ferro, T. E. Fricker and E. B. Suckling (2013), On judging the credibility of climate predictions, Climatic Change, 132, 1:46-60, doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0813-5
• A. Lopez, E. B. Suckling and L. A. Smith (2013), Robustness of pattern scaled climate change scenarios for adaptation decision support, Climatic Change, 122, 4:555-566, doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-1022-y

Research in Theoretical Physics

• Nuclear physics publications
• Thesis - Nuclear structure and dynamics from the fully unrestricted Skyrme-Hartree-Fock model, University of Surrey (2011)