Wolf, G., S. Ferrett, J. Methven, T.H.A. Frame, C.E. Holloway, O. Martinez-Alvarado, and S. J. Woolnough: Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information.  Submitted to Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, November 2022.

Gu, J.-F., R. S. Plant, C. E. Holloway, and P. A. Clark: Moist Halo Regions Around Shallow Cumulus Clouds in Large Eddy Simulations.  Submitted to Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, November 2022.

Publications (Also listed at my Google Scholar page and at my Reading page [post-2009])

2020's:

Hill, P. G., Holloway, C. E., Byrne, M. P., Lambert, F. H. and Webb, M. J., 2023: Climate models underestimate dynamic cloud feedbacks in the tropics. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104573

Liao, X., C. E. Holloway, X. Feng, C. Liu, X. Lyu, Y. Xue, R. Bao, J. Li, and F. Qiao, 2023: Observed interannual relationship between ITCZ position and tropical cyclone frequency. Journal of Climate, 36, 5587–5603. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0865.1.

Racoma, B. A. B. , Holloway, C. E., Schiemann, R. K. H., Feng, X. and Bagtasa, G., 2023: The Effect of the Cordillera Mountain Range on Tropical Cyclone Rainfall in the Northern Philippines. Atmosphere, 14 (4). p. 643. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14040643

Ferrett, S. , Methven, J. , Woolnough, S. , Yang, G.-Y. , Holloway, C. E. and Wolf, G., 2023: Hybrid dynamical-statistical forecasts of the risk of rainfall in South East Asia dependent on equatorial waves. Monthly Weather Review. (In Press)

Johnston, M. C., Holloway, C. E. and Plant, R. S., 2023: Sensible heat fluxes control cloud trail strength. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4438

Pope, K. N., Holloway, C. E., Jones, T. R. and Stein, T. H. M., 2023: Radiation, clouds, and self-aggregation in RCEMIP simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (2). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003317

Harris, B. L., Tailleux, R. , Holloway, C. E. and Vidale, P. L., 2022: A moist available potential energy budget for an axisymmetric tropical cyclone. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 79 (10). pp. 2493-2513. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E., Williams, C. J. R., Yang, G.-Y. , Stratton, R. and Roberts, M., 2021: Linking Equatorial African precipitation to Kelvin wave processes in the CP4-Africa convection-permitting regional climate simulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-21-0039.1

Chevuturi, A. , Klingaman, N. P. , Guo, L., Holloway, C. E., Guimarães, B. S., Coelho, C. A. S., Kubota, P. Y., Young, M., Black, E., Baker, J. C. A. and Vidale, P. L., 2021: Subseasonal prediction performance for South American land–atmosphere coupling in extended austral summer. Climate Resilience and Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.28

Racoma, B. A. B., Klingaman, N. P. , Holloway, C. E., Schiemann, R. K. H. and Bagtasa, G., 2021: Tropical cyclone characteristics associated with extreme precipitation in the northern Philippines. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7416

Pope, K. N., Holloway, C. E., Jones, T. R. and Stein, T. H. M., 2021: Cloud-radiation interactions and their contributions to convective self-aggregation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (9). e2021MS002535. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002535

Gu, J.-F. , Plant, R. S. , Holloway, C. E. and Jones, T. R., 2021: Composited structure of non-precipitating shallow cumulus clouds. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (738). pp. 2818-2833. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4101

Ferrett, S. , Frame, T. H. A., Methven, J., Holloway, C. E., Webster, S., Stein, T. H.M. and Cafaro, C., 2021: Evaluating convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of precipitation over Southeast Asia. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (4). pp. 1199-1217. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0216.1

Da Silva, N. A., Webber, B. G. M., Matthews, A. J., Feist, M. M., Stein, T. H. M. , Holloway, C. E., and Abdullah, M. F. A. B., 2021: Validation of GPM IMERG extreme precipitation in the Maritime Continent by station and radar data. Earth and Space Science, 8 (7). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001738

Yang, G., S. Ferrett, S. Woolnough, J. Methven, and C. Holloway, 2021: Real-time identification of equatorial waves and evaluation of waves in global forecasts, Weather and Forecasting, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0144.1.  (CentAUR repository)

Klingaman, N. P., M. Young, A. Chevuturi, B. Guimaraes, L. Guo, S. J. Woolnough, C. A. S. Coelho, P. Y. Kubota, and C. E. Holloway, 2021: Subseasonal prediction performance for austral summer South American rainfall, Weather and Forecasting, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0203.1.  (CentAUR repository)

Masunaga, H., C. E. Holloway, H. Kanamori, S. Bony, and T. H. M. Stein, 2021: Transient aggregation of convection: Observed behavior and underlying processes, Journal of Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0933.1.  (CentAUR repository)

Gu, J.‐F., R. S. Plant, C. E. Holloway, and M. R. Muetzelfeldt, 2020: Pressure drag for shallow cumulus clouds: From thermals to the cloud ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL090460. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090460.  (open access)

Talib, J., S. J. Woolnough, N. P. Klingaman, and C. E. Holloway, 2020: The effect of atmosphere‐ocean coupling on the sensitivity of the ITCZ to convective mixing. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, e2020MS002322. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002322.  (open access)

Good, P., R. Chadwick, C. E. Holloway, J. Kennedy, J. A. Lowe, R. Roehrig, and S. S. Rushley, 2020: High sensitivity of tropical precipitation to local sea-surface temperature.  Nature, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2887-3.  (free view-only PDF)  (CentAUR repository)

Monerie, P.-A., A. Chevuturi, P. Cook, N. P. Klingaman, and C. E. Holloway, 2020: Role of atmospheric horizontal resolution in simulating tropical and subtropical South American precipitation in HadGEM3-GC31, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 4749–4771, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4749-2020.  (open access)

Ayesiga, G., C. E. Holloway, C. J. Williams, G.-Y. Yang, and S. Ferrett, 2020: The Observed Synoptic scale precipitation relationship between Western Equatorial Africa and Eastern Equatorial Africa. Int. J. Climatol. (In Press) https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6711.  (open access)

Mohd Nor, M. F. F., C. E. Holloway, and P. M. Inness, 2020: The Role of Local Orography on the Development of a Severe Rainfall Event over Western Peninsular Malaysia: A Case Study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 2191–2209, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0413.1.  (CentAUR repository)

McIntyre, W. A., H. Weller, and C. E. Holloway, 2020: Numerical methods for entrainment and detrainment in the multi‐fluid Euler equations for convection. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc.; 146: 1106–1120. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3728.  (open access)

Gu, J., R. S. Plant, C. E. Holloway, T. R. Jones, A. Stirling, P. A. Clark, S. J. Woolnough, and T. L. Webb, 2020: Evaluation of the Bulk Mass Flux Formulation Using Large-Eddy Simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 77, 2115–2137, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-19-0224.1.  (open access)

Ferrett, S., G.-Y. Yang, S. J. Woolnough, J. Methven, K. Hodges and C. E. Holloway, 2020: Linking Extreme Precipitation in Southeast Asia to Equatorial Waves. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3699.   (open access)

Johnston, M. C., C. E. Holloway, and R. S. Plant, 2018: Cloud trails past Bermuda: a five-year climatology from 2012-2016. Monthly Weather Review, 146, 4039-4055, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0141.1. 

Talib, J. Woolnough, S. J., Klingaman, N. P., and C. E. Holloway, 2018: The role of the cloud radiative effect in the sensitivity of the Intertropical Convergence Zone to convective mixing.  Journal of Climate, 31 (17), 6821-6838, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0794.1 (open access)

Christensen, H. M., A. Dawson, and C. E. Holloway, 2018: Forcing single column models using high-resolution model simulations.  J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 10(8): 1833–1857, doi: 10.1029/2017MS001189.  (open access)

Toh, Y. Y., A. G. Turner, S. J. Johnson, and C. E. Holloway, 2018: Maritime Continent seasonal climate biases in AMIP experiments of the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble.  Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3641-x.   (open access)

Holloway, C. E., A. A. Wing, S. Bony, C. Muller, H. Masunaga, T. S. L'Ecuyer, D. D. Turner, and P. Zuidema, 2017: Observing convective aggregation.  Surveys in Geophysics, doi:10.1007/s10712-017-9419-1.  (open access)   (enhanced PDF)

Holloway, C. E., 2017: Convective aggregation in realistic convective-scale simulations.  J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 09, doi:10.1002/2017MS000980.  (open access)

Stein, T. H. M., C. E. Holloway, I. Tobin, and S. Bony, 2017: Observed relationships between cloud vertical structure and convective aggregation over tropical ocean.  J. Climate, 30, 2187–2207.  (open access)

Holloway, C. E., and S. J. Woolnough, 2016: The sensitivity of convective aggregation to diabatic processes in idealized radiative-convective equilibrium simulations.  J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 8, 166–195, doi:10.1002/2015MS000511.  (open access)

Stein, T. H. M., D. J. Parker, R. J. Hogan, C. E. Birch, C. E. Holloway, G. M. S. Lister, J. H. Marsham, and S. J. Woolnough, 2015: The representation of the West African Monsoon vertical cloud structure in the Met Office Unified Model: An evaluation with CloudSat. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 141, 3312-3324.  doi: 10.1002/qj.2614.  (open access)

Holloway, C. E., S. J. Woolnough, and G. M. S. Lister, 2015: The effects of explicit versus parameterized convection on the MJO in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Part II: Processes leading to differences in MJO development.  J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 2719-2743.  (open access)

Holloway, C. E., J. C. Petch, R. J. Beare, P. Bechtold, G. C. Craig, S. H. Derbyshire, L. J. Donner, P. R. Field, S. L. Gray, J. H. Marsham, D. J. Parker, R. S. Plant, N. M. Roberts, D. M. Schultz, A. J. Stirling, and S. J. Woolnough, 2014: Understanding and representing atmospheric convection across scales: Recommendations from the meeting held at Dartington Hall, Devon, UK, 28–30 January 2013.  Atmosph. Sci. Lett.  doi: 10.1002/asl2.508  (open access)

Tobin, I., S. Bony, C. E. Holloway, J. Y. Grandpeix, G. Sèze, D. Coppin, S. J. Woolnough, and R. Roca, 2013: Does convective aggregation need to be represented in cumulus parameterizations? J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 5, doi:10.1002/jame.20047.  (open access)

Holloway, C. E., S. J. Woolnough, and G. M. S. Lister, 2013: The effects of explicit versus parameterized convection on the MJO in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Part I: Characterization of large-scale organization and propagation.  J. Atmos. Sci., 70, 1342-1369.  (open access)

Holloway, C. E., S. J. Woolnough, and G. M. S. Lister, 2012: Precipitation distributions for explicit versus parameterized convection in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 138, 1692-1708.  (open access)

Lintner, B. R., C. E. Holloway, and J. D. Neelin, 2011: Column water vapor statistics and their relationship to deep convection and vertical and horizontal circulation and moisture structure at Nauru. J. Climate, 24, 5454-5466.

Peters, O., A. Deluca, A. Corral, J. D. Neelin, and C. E. Holloway, 2010: Universality of rain event size distributions. J. Stat. Mech., P1130, doi:10.1088/1742-5468/2010/11/P11030.

Pearson, K. J., R. J. Hogan, R. P. Allan, G. M. S. Lister, and C. E. Holloway, 2010: Evaluation of the model representation of the evolution of convective systems using satellite observations of OLR. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D20206, doi:10.1029/2010JD014265.

Holloway, C. E. and J. D. Neelin, 2010: Temporal relations of column water vapor and tropical precipitation. J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 1091–1105, doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3284.1. Paper (AMS Page)

Neelin, J. D., O. Peters, J. W.-B. Lin, K. Hales, and C. E. Holloway, 2009: Rethinking convective quasi-equilibrium: observational constraints for stochastic convective schemes in climate models. In Stochastic Physics and Climate Modelling, T. N. Palmer and P. D. Williams, eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Holloway, C. E. and J. D. Neelin, 2009: Moisture vertical structure, column water vapor, and tropical deep convection. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 1665-1683.  Paper (AMS Page)

Neelin, J. D., O. Peters, J. W.-B. Lin, K. Hales and C. E. Holloway, 2008: Rethinking convective quasi-equilibrium: observational constraints for stochastic convective schemes in climate models.  Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. Lond. A, 366, 2581-2604. doi:10.1098/rsta.2008.0056.  Paper (PDF)

Holloway, C. E. and J. D. Neelin, 2007: The convective cold top and quasi equilibrium. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 1467-1487.  Paper (AMS page)

Stevens, B., A. Beljaars, S. Bordoni, C. Holloway, M. Koehler, S. Krueger, V. Savic-Jovcic and Y. Zhang, 2007: On the structure of the lower troposphere in the summertime stratocumulus regime of the northeast Pacific. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 985-1005.  Paper (AMS page)

Neelin, J. D., M. Munnich, H. Su, J. E. Meyerson, and C. E. Holloway, 2006: Tropical drying trends in global warming models and observations. Proc. Nat. Acd. Sci., 103, 6110-6115. Paper (PDF)   Supporting Information (PDF)