Latest temperature (min, max, mean) forecast for Nice

Recent observations
YYYYMMDD     OBS   Min   Max  Mean
20201011     OBS  13.5  18.0  15.8
20201012     OBS  10.4  19.6  15.0
20201013     OBS  10.9  19.5  15.2
20201014     OBS  11.8  18.5  15.1
20201015     OBS  10.1  17.3  13.7
20201016     OBS  11.7  18.1  14.9
20201017     OBS -99.9  18.2 -99.9
20201018     OBS  11.9  18.7  15.3
20201019     OBS  11.3  18.6  15.0
20201020     OBS  11.8  18.7  15.2
20201021     OBS  12.1  19.8  15.9
Latest forecasts
                                  Confidence EnsembleSpread
YYYYMMDD     DAY   Min   Max  Mean Min Max   Min   Max
20201022     000  14.   21.   18.  -   Hi    0.8   0.6
20201023     001  16.   20.   18.  -   -     0.2   0.6
20201024     002  14.   22.   18.  -   -     0.2   0.4
20201025     003  13.   20.   17.  -   -     0.4   0.4
20201026     004  13.   16.   14.  -   -     0.4   0.6
20201027     005   9.   17.   13.  Lo  Hi    0.8   0.8
20201028     006  10.   20.   15.  -   -     0.6   1.1
20201029     007  12.   19.   15.  -   -     0.8   1.7
20201030     008  11.   20.   15.  Lo  -     1.6   1.0
20201031     009  12.   20.   16.  -   -     3.1   3.3
20201101     010  13.   19.   16.  -   -     3.0   3.2
20201102     011  12.   20.   16.  Lo  -     2.2   3.5
20201103     012  12.   18.   15.  Lo  -     2.3   3.2
20201104     013  11.   16.   13.  Lo  -     2.2   3.4
20201105     014  10.   16.   13.  -   -     2.2   2.5
20201106     015  10.   14.   12.  -   -     2.4   2.1

-99.9 denotes missing data

For forecasts:

• 'Hi' - denotes that recent forecast errors for the specified forecast length (column 'DAY') have had a standard deviation over the past 30 days of less than 1.5C,
• '- ' - as 'Hi' but in the range 1.5C to 3C.
• 'Lo' - as 'Hi' but greater than 3C.
• The values in the 'Ensemble Spread' columns indicate the standard deviation of the spread of the forecasts between the ensembles. Thus, a value of 1.0 indicates that approximately 2/3rds of the ensemble members lie in the range -1.0C to +1.0C about the mean of the ensemble forecasts.
• The larger the value of the 'Ensemble Spread' the greater the uncertainty of the forecast as the ensemble members have a larger variation for the forecast for the day shown.