Latest temperature (min, max, mean) forecast for Lisbon

Recent observations
YYYYMMDD     OBS   Min   Max  Mean
20201011     OBS  15.9  26.3  21.1
20201012     OBS  15.3  23.7  19.5
20201013     OBS  14.2  24.1  19.1
20201014     OBS  13.4  20.2  16.8
20201015     OBS  12.4  20.9  16.6
20201016     OBS  12.3  22.6  17.5
20201017     OBS  11.5  21.2  16.4
20201018     OBS  13.8  24.7  19.2
20201019     OBS  14.4  20.2  17.3
20201020     OBS  17.1  18.9  18.0
20201021     OBS  14.3  19.8  17.0
Latest forecasts
                                  Confidence EnsembleSpread
YYYYMMDD     DAY   Min   Max  Mean Min Max   Min   Max
20201022     000  15.   24.   19.  -   Lo    0.3   0.2
20201023     001  14.   22.   18.  -   Lo    0.8   0.4
20201024     002  15.   24.   19.  -   Lo    0.7   0.5
20201025     003  14.   24.   19.  -   Lo    1.1   0.6
20201026     004  14.   22.   18.  -   Lo    0.9   0.5
20201027     005  14.   23.   19.  -   Lo    0.7   0.7
20201028     006  15.   23.   19.  -   Lo    0.7   0.7
20201029     007  14.   21.   17.  Hi  Lo    0.6   0.9
20201030     008  14.   20.   17.  -   Lo    0.9   1.0
20201031     009  15.   20.   17.  Hi  Lo    0.9   0.9
20201101     010  16.   21.   18.  -   Lo    0.5   0.8
20201102     011  16.   20.   18.  -   -     0.7   1.1
20201103     012  16.   22.   19.  -   -     0.9   1.3
20201104     013  16.   22.   19.  -   -     0.9   0.6
20201105     014  16.   22.   19.  -   Lo    0.9   1.5
20201106     015  15.   23.   19.  -   -     1.0   0.9

-99.9 denotes missing data

For forecasts:

• 'Hi' - denotes that recent forecast errors for the specified forecast length (column 'DAY') have had a standard deviation over the past 30 days of less than 1.5C,
• '- ' - as 'Hi' but in the range 1.5C to 3C.
• 'Lo' - as 'Hi' but greater than 3C.
• The values in the 'Ensemble Spread' columns indicate the standard deviation of the spread of the forecasts between the ensembles. Thus, a value of 1.0 indicates that approximately 2/3rds of the ensemble members lie in the range -1.0C to +1.0C about the mean of the ensemble forecasts.
• The larger the value of the 'Ensemble Spread' the greater the uncertainty of the forecast as the ensemble members have a larger variation for the forecast for the day shown.