Latest temperature (min, max, mean) forecast for Resolute

Recent observations
YYYYMMDD     OBS   Min   Max  Mean
20120510     OBS -15.9  -6.3 -11.1
20120511     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120512     OBS -10.9  -4.9  -7.9
20120513     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120514     OBS -10.4  -4.7  -7.5
20120515     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120516     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120517     OBS -16.3  -5.2 -10.8
20120518     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120519     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120520     OBS -15.9  -5.4 -10.6
Latest forecasts
                                  Confidence EnsembleSpread
YYYYMMDD     DAY   Min   Max  Mean Min Max   Min   Max
20120521     000 -13.   -5.   -9.  -   -     2.3   2.4
20120522     001 -12.   -4.   -8.  -   -     1.4   0.8
20120523     002 -11.   -4.   -8.  -   -     0.3   0.3
20120524     003 -12.   -4.   -8.  -   -     1.1   0.4
20120525     004 -12.   -4.   -8.  -   Lo    0.3   0.2
20120526     005 -11.   -4.   -8.  -   -     0.4   0.3
20120527     006 -12.   -4.   -8.  -   -     0.5   0.3
20120528     007  -9.   -1.   -5.  -   -     0.1   0.2
20120529     008  -9.   -2.   -6.  -   -     0.3   0.4
20120530     009  -9.   -2.   -5.  -   -     0.4   0.3
20120531     010  -9.   -1.   -5.  -   -     0.5   0.5
20120601     011  -8.   -1.   -5.  -   -     0.3   0.2
20120602     012  -7.   -1.   -4.  Lo  Lo    0.3   0.4
20120603     013  -8.    0.   -4.  Lo  Lo    0.9   1.1
20120604     014  -6.    1.   -2.  Lo  -     1.3   1.2
20120605     015  -6.    2.   -2.  Lo  -     0.5   0.9

-99.9 denotes missing data

For forecasts:

• 'Hi' - denotes that recent forecast errors for the specified forecast length (column 'DAY') have had a standard deviation over the past 30 days of less than 1.5C,
• '- ' - as 'Hi' but in the range 1.5C to 3C.
• 'Lo' - as 'Hi' but greater than 3C.
• The values in the 'Ensemble Spread' columns indicate the standard deviation of the spread of the forecasts between the ensembles. Thus, a value of 1.0 indicates that approximately 2/3rds of the ensemble members lie in the range -1.0C to +1.0C about the mean of the ensemble forecasts.
• The larger the value of the 'Ensemble Spread' the greater the uncertainty of the forecast as the ensemble members have a larger variation for the forecast for the day shown.