Latest temperature (min, max, mean) forecast for KodiakAK

Recent observations
YYYYMMDD     OBS   Min   Max  Mean
20120510     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120511     OBS   1.1   7.8   4.5
20120512     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120513     OBS  -1.7   6.1   2.2
20120514     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120515     OBS  -0.6  11.7   5.5
20120516     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120517     OBS  -0.5   9.4   4.4
20120518     OBS   3.9   5.6   4.8
20120519     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
20120520     OBS -99.9 -99.9 -99.9
Latest forecasts
                                  Confidence EnsembleSpread
YYYYMMDD     DAY   Min   Max  Mean Min Max   Min   Max
20120521     000   4.   12.    8.  -   -     0.2   1.2
20120522     001   7.   15.   11.  -   -     0.9   1.0
20120523     002   7.   16.   11.  -   -     0.1   1.0
20120524     003   7.   15.   11.  -   -     1.2   1.0
20120525     004   6.   15.   11.  -   -     1.6   1.0
20120526     005   3.   11.    7.  -   -     0.7   0.7
20120527     006   5.   13.    9.  -   -     0.8   1.3
20120528     007   6.   15.   10.  -   Lo    1.5   2.4
20120529     008   7.   14.   11.  -   -     1.2   0.9
20120530     009   7.   15.   11.  -   -     0.6   0.2
20120531     010   5.   13.    9.  -   -     0.3   0.5
20120601     011   3.   12.    8.  -   Lo    0.6   0.9
20120602     012   3.   10.    6.  -   Lo    0.2   0.7
20120603     013   4.   11.    7.  -   Lo    1.1   0.8
20120604     014   4.   12.    8.  -   Lo    0.5   0.5
20120605     015   4.   11.    8.  -   Lo    0.5   0.8

-99.9 denotes missing data

For forecasts:

• 'Hi' - denotes that recent forecast errors for the specified forecast length (column 'DAY') have had a standard deviation over the past 30 days of less than 1.5C,
• '- ' - as 'Hi' but in the range 1.5C to 3C.
• 'Lo' - as 'Hi' but greater than 3C.
• The values in the 'Ensemble Spread' columns indicate the standard deviation of the spread of the forecasts between the ensembles. Thus, a value of 1.0 indicates that approximately 2/3rds of the ensemble members lie in the range -1.0C to +1.0C about the mean of the ensemble forecasts.
• The larger the value of the 'Ensemble Spread' the greater the uncertainty of the forecast as the ensemble members have a larger variation for the forecast for the day shown.