2013

Wilcox, L. and Charlton-Perez, A. (2013) Final warming of the Southern Hemisphere polar vortex in high- and low-top CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 118 (6). pp. 2535-2546. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50254

2012

Mitchell, D. M., Osprey, S. M., Gray, L. J., Butchart, N., Hardiman, S. C., Charlton-Perez, A. and Watson, P. (2012) The effect of climate change on the variability of the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (8). pp. 2608-2618. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-021.1

Wilcox, L. J., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Gray, L. J. (2012) Trends in Austral jet position in ensembles of high- and low-top CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 117. D13115. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2012JD017597

Mitchell, D.M., Charlton-Perez, A.J., Gray, L. J., Akiyoshi, H., Butchart, N., Hardiman, S. C., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Rozanov, E., Shibata, K., Smale, D. and Yamashita, Y. (2012) The nature of Arctic polar vortices in chemistry-climate models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1909 (In Press)

Gerber, E. P., Butler, A., Calvo, N., Charlton-Perez, A., Giorgetta, M., Manzini, E., Perlwitz, J., Polvani, L. M., Sassi, F., Scaife, A. A., Shaw, T. A., Son, S.-W. and Watanabe, S. (2012) Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 (In Press)

2011

Ferraro, A.J., Highwood, E.J. and Charlton-Perez, A.J. (2011) Stratospheric heating by potential geoengineering aerosols. Geophysical Research Letters, 34. L24706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL049761

Mitchell, D. M., Gray, L. and Charlton-Perez, A. (2011) The structure and evolution of the stratospheric vortex in response to natural forcings. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D15110. ISSN 2156-2202 doi: 10.1029/2011JD015788

Kipling, Z., Primo, C. and Charlton-Perez, A. (2011) Spatiotemporal behavior of the TIGGE medium-range ensemble forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (8). pp. 2561-2571. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3556.1

Hannachi, A., Mitchell, D., Gray, L. and Charlton-Perez, A. (2011) On the use of geometric moments to examine the continuum of sudden stratospheric warmings. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (3). pp. 657-674. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3585.1

Maycock, A. C., Keeley, S. P. E., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2011) Stratospheric circulation in seasonal forecasting models: implications for seasonal prediction. Climate Dynamics, 36 (1-2). pp. 309-321. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0665-x

Mitchell, D., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Gray, L. J. (2011) Characterising the variability and extremes of the stratospheric polar vortices using 2D moment analysis. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (6). pp. 1194-1213. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3555.1

Hardiman, S. C., Butchart, N., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Shaw, T. A., Akiyoshi, H., Baumgaertner, A., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Chipperfield, M., Dameris, M., Garcia, R. R., Michou, M., Pawson, S., Rozanov, E. and Shibata, K. (2011) Improved predictability of the troposphere using stratospheric final warmings. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D18113. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: 10.1029/2011JD015914

Charlton-Perez, A. and Dacre, H. (2011) Lewis Fry Richardson's forecast factory - for real. Weather, 66 (2). pp. 52-54. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.670

Butchart, N., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Cionni, I., Hardiman, S. C., Haynes, P. H., Krüger, K., Kushner, P. J., Newman, P. A., Osprey, S. M., Perlwitz, J., Sigmond, M., Wang, L., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Bekki, S., Baumgaertner, A., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Chipperfield, M., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Eyring, V., Garcia, R., Garny, H., Jöckel, P., Lamarque, J.-F., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Plummer, D., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H., Tian, W., Waugh, D. and Yamashita, Y. (2011) Multimodel climate and variability of the stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D05102. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014995

Butcher, N., Charlton-Perez, A., Cionni, I., Hardiman, S. C., Haynes, P. H., Krüger, K., Kushner, P. J., Newman, P. A., Osprey, S. M., Perlwitz, J., Sigmond, M., Wang, L., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Bekki, S., Baumgaertner, A., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Chipperfield, M., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Eyring, V., Garcia, R., Garny, H., Jöckel, P., Lamarque, J. -F., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Plummer, D., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H., Tian, W., Waugh, D. and Yamashita, Y. (2011) Multimodel climate and variability of the stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D05102. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014995

Kolstad, E. W. and Charlton-Perez, A. J. (2011) Observed and simulated precursors of stratospheric polar vortex anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics, 37 (7-8). pp. 1443-1456. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0919-7

2010

Charlton-Perez, A., Dacre, H., Maskell, K., Reynolds, R., South, R. and Wood, C. (2010) Meteorology and climate inspire secondary school students. School Science Review, 92 (339). pp. 75-82. ISSN 0036-6811

Bekki, S., Bodeker, G. E., Bais, A. F., Butchart, N., Eyring, V., Fahey, D. W., Kinnison, D. E., Langematz, U., Mayer, B., Portmann, R. W., Rozanov, E., Braesicke, P., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Chubarova, N. E., Cionni, I., Diaz , S. B., Gillett, N. P., Giorgetta, M. A., Komala, N., Lefevre, F., McLandress, C., Perlwitz, J., Peter, T. and Shibata, K. (2010) Report of the 2010 assessment of the scientific assessment panel: future ozone and its impact on surface UV. Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project. 52. Report. World Meteorological Organisation, Geneva, Switzerland. pp516.

Eyring, V., Cionni, I., Lamarque, J. F., Akiyoshi, H., Bodeker, G. E., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Frith, S. M., Gettelman, A., Kinnison, D. E., Nakamura, T., Oman, L. D., Pawson, S. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Sensitivity of 21st century stratospheric ozone to greenhouse gas scenarios. Geophysical Research Letters, 37 (16). L16807. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL044443

Charlton-Perez, A. , Lahoz, W. and Swinbank, R. (2010) General concepts in meteorology and dynamics. In: Lahoz, W., Khattatov, B. and Menard, R. (eds.) Data Assimilation: Making sense of observations. Springer, pp. 325-350. ISBN 9783540747024

Manzini, E., Matthes, K., Blume, C., Bodeker, G., Cagnazzo, C., Calvo, N., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Douglass, A., Fogli, P. G., Gray, L. J., Kim, J., Kodera, K., Kunze, M., Pena-Ortiz, C., Randel, W. J., Reichler, T., Stenchikov, G., Timmreck, C., Toohey, M. and Yoden, S. (2010) Natural variability of stratospheric ozone. In: Eyring, V., Shepherd, T. G. and Waugh, T. W. (eds.) SPARC CCMVal Report on the Evaluation of Chemistry-Climate Models. SPARC, pp. 301-342.

Butchart, N., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Cionni, I., Hardiman, S., Krueger, K., Kushner, P., Newman, P., Osprey, S., Perlwitz, J., Sassi, F., Sigmond, M. and Wang, L. (2010) Stratospheric dynamics. In: Eyring, V., Shepherd, T. G. and Waugh, T. W. (eds.) SPARC CCMVal Report on the Evaluation of Chemistry-Climate Models. SPARC, pp. 109-148.

Woollings, T. J., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Ineson, S., Marshall, A. G. and Masato, G. (2010) Associations between stratospheric variability and tropospheric blocking. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (D6). D06108. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD012742

Eyring, V., Cionni, I., Bodeker, G. E., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Kinnison, D. E., Scinocca, J. F., Waugh, D. W., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Chipperfield, M. P., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Frith, S. M., Garny, H., Gettelman, A., Kubin, A., Langematz, U., Mancini, E., Marchand, M., Nakamura, T., Oman, L. D., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Tian, W., Braesicke, P., Hardiman, S. C., Lamarque, J. F., Morgenstern, O., Pyle, J. A., Smale, D. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Multi-model assessment of stratospheric ozone return dates and ozone recovery in CCMVal-2 models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9451-9472. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-9451-2010

Charlton-Perez, A. J., Hawkins, E., Eyring, V., Cionni, I., Bodeker, G. E., Kinnison, D. E., Akiyoshi, H., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R., Gettelman, A., Lamarque, J. F., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Yamashita, Y., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Chipperfield, M. P., Dhomse, S., Marchand, M., Mancini, E., Morgenstern, O., Pitari, G., Plummer, D., Pyle, J. A., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shibata, K., Shepherd, T. G., Tian, W. and Waugh, D. W. (2010) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9473-9486. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-9473-2010

2009

Matthewman, N. J., Esler, J. G., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Polvani, L. (2009) A new look at stratospheric sudden warmings. Part III. Polar vortex evolution and vertical structure. Journal of Climate, 22 (6). pp. 1566-1585. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2365.1

Charlton-Perez, A. J. and O'Neill, A. (2009) On the sensitivity of annular mode dynamics to stratospheric radiative timescales. Journal of Climate, 23 (2). pp. 476-484. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2995.1

Bell, C. J., Gray, L. J., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Joshi, M. M. and Scaife, A. A. (2009) Stratospheric communication of El Nino teleconnections to European winter. Journal of Climate, 22 (15). pp. 4083-4096. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2717.1

2008

Charlton-Perez, A. J., Polvani, L.M., Austin, J. and Li, F. (2008) The frequency and dynamics of stratospheric sudden warmings in the 21st century. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113 (D16). D16116. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2007JD009571

2007

Wittman, M. A. H., Charlton, A. J. and Polvani, L. M. (2007) The effect of lower stratospheric shear on baroclinic instability. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64 (2). pp. 479-496. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: DOI: 10.1175/JAS3828.1

Charlton, A. J. and Polvani, L.M. (2007) A new look at stratospheric sudden warmings. Part I. Climatology and modeling benchmarks. Journal of Climate, 20 (3). pp. 449-471. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3996.1

Charlton, A. J., Polvani, L.M., Perlwitz, J., Sassi, F., Manzini, E., Pawson, S., Nielsen, J.E., Shibata, K. and Rind, D. (2007) A new look at stratospheric sudden warmings. Part II. Evaluation of Numerical Model Simulations. Journal of Climate, 20 (3). pp. 471-488. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI3994.1

2006

Joshi, M. M., Charlton, A. J. and Scaife, A. A. (2006) On the influence of stratospheric water vapor changes on the tropospheric circulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (9). L09806. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2006GL025983

2005

Charlton, A. J., O'Neill, A., Berrisford, P. and Lahoz, W. A. (2005) Can the dynamical impact of the stratosphere on the troposphere be described by large-scale adjustment to the stratospheric PV distribution? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131 (606). pp. 525-543. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1256/qj.03.222

Wittman, M. A. H., Charlton, A. J. and Polvani, L. M. (2005) On the Meridional Structure of Annular Modes. Journal of Climate, 18 (12). pp. 2119-2122. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI3394.1

Gray, L., Norton, W., Pascoe, C. and Charlton, A. (2005) A Possible Influence of Equatorial Winds on the September 2002 Southern Hemisphere Sudden Warming Event. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 62 (3). pp. 651-667. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-3339.1

Charlton, A. J., O’Neill, A., Lahoz, W. A. and Berrisford, P. (2005) The Splitting of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex in the Southern Hemisphere, September 2002: Dynamical Evolution. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 62 (3). pp. 590-602. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-3318.1

Charlton, A. J., O'Neill, A., Lahoz, W. A., Massacand, A. C. and Berrisford, P. (2005) The impact of the stratosphere on the troposphere during the southern hemisphere stratospheric sudden warming, September 2002. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131 (609). pp. 2171-2188. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1256/qj.04.43

2004

Wittman, M. A. H., Polvani, L. M., Scott, R. K. and Charlton, A. J. (2004) Stratospheric influence on baroclinic lifecycles and its connection to the Arctic Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 31 (16). L16113. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2004GL020503

Charlton, A. J., Oneill, A., Lahoz, W.A. and Massacand, A.C. (2004) Sensitivity of tropospheric forecasts to stratospheric initial conditions. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 130 (600). pp. 1771-1792. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1256/qj.03.167

2003

Baldwin, M. P., Stephenson, D. B., Thompson, D. W.J., Dunkerton , T. J., Charlton, A. J. and O'Neill, A. (2003) Stratospheric Memory and Skill of Extended-Range Weather Forecasts. Science, 301 (5633). pp. 636-640. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: 10.1126/science.1087143

Charlton, A. J., O'Neill, A., Stephenson, D. B., Lahoz, W. A. and Baldwin, M. P. (2003) Can knowledge of the state of the stratosphere be used to improve statistical forecasts of the troposphere? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 129 (595). pp. 3205-3224. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1256/qj.02.232

2001

Roscoe, H., Charlton, A. J., Fish, D. J. and Hill, J. G. T. (2001) Improvements to the accuracy of measurements of NO2 by zenith-sky visible spectrometers II: errors in zero using a more complete chemical model. Journal Of Quantative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer, 68 (3). p. 337. ISSN 0022-4073 doi: 10.1016/S0022-4073(00)00058-3